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HARRY'S BI-WEEKLY UPDATE 8.23.21

by Harry Salzman

August 23, 2021

 

HARRY’S BI-WEEKLY UPDATE

A Current Look at the Colorado Springs Residential real estate Market

As part of my Special Brand of Customer Service, it is my desire to share current real estate issues that will help to make you a more successful and profitable buyer or seller.

 

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MORE HOMES FOR SALE BUT THE MARKET IS STILL FAVORING SELLERS

The good news is there are more homes for sale, giving buyers more choices than they’ve had in the last year or two.  However, there still aren’t as many available homes as there are potential buyers so it continues to be a seller’s market at present.

I’ve had more listings in the last month than I’ve had for some time and while the number of offers has decreased somewhat, the homes have sold quickly and for over asking price.  From where I sit, it appears that more and more folks are wanting to test the market and see what they can get for their existing home while prices are still at all-time highs.  Most of those I’ve been dealing with have a good idea of where they might want to go next, either trading up or down or relocating to another state to be near family members or for work situations.

With interest rates continuing to be historically low, the higher price of the homes for sale hasn’t been much of an issue since the monthly payments for many remain lower than even several years ago.  I tell my clients not to consider the price of the home, but to look at what their monthly output will be.  Today’s rates are allowing them to buy more house for the same or slightly higher monthly payment.  

I’m also seeing more clients looking to find existing homes rather than wait for new construction, which is a change from even six months ago.  Part of that is due to the time it’s taking to build a new home, and the uncertainty of the exact price because of materials and labor.  

A recent article in “The Wall Street Journal” discussed the fact that Austin, Texas has had the biggest national increase in homes selling over the listing price.  That immediately stuck home for me because Colorado Springs is often compared to Austin due to the type of residents they attract, namely those in the technology fields.  And with all the new companies wanting to relocate to the Springs, it’s likely our selling prices will stay high for some time to come.  The good news there is that our prices still remain lower than Austin, a boon for companies concerned about the cost of relocating and hiring employees.

It has taken a lot of creativity on my part to help my clients navigate the current buying and selling wars.  Fortunately, I’ve had 48+ years of experience and, combined with my Investment Banking background, this is a definite plus for those I work with.

When I’m asked, “Is now good time to buy or sell?”, I always answer the same way.  “If it’s right for YOU, then it’s a good time to buy or sell.”  There’s no standard formula for buying and selling a home and that’s why I spend time with each client to determine what is best for their particular situation.  It’s important to find out what someone is looking for and determine why they want to buy, sell, or invest in a home as everyone has different wants, needs and budgets. Those type of questions need to be addressed upfront and we can proceed from there.

The best move you can make at present is to call me at 593.1000 or email me at Harry@HarrySalzman.com to get any and all of your Residential real estate questions answered.  

I look forward to speaking with you.

 

COLORADO SPRINGS HOME PRICES JUMP HIGHER IN SECOND QUARTER 2021…AMONG MOST EXPENSIVE IN THE COUNTRY

The National Association of Realtors, 8.12.21 and “The Gazette”, 8.20.21

Median prices of single-family homes across the nation rose double-digits for Quarter Two 2021 in 94% of the 183 metro areas surveyed quarterly by The National Association of Realtors (NAR), with the median price nationally rising 22.9% to $357,900.

Colorado Springs surpassed that, with the median price of single-family homes jumping 24.3% to $439,200 during the second quarter of the year.  This price reflects detached, single-family and patio homes but not townhomes or condominiums. 

The median price in the Springs ranked 28th highest of the cities surveyed, while the appreciation rate was tied for the 40th percentage increase.  And once more, the good news is that while our home values are increasing, they are still less than those in the Denver and Boulder areas, which makes our city more attractive to potential companies wanting to relocate.

To see all 183 metro areas in alphabetical order, please click here.  To see them in ranking order, click here.  And if you have any questions, you know where to reach me.

 

A LOOK AT HOUSING SUPPLY AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR SELLERS

KeepingCurrentMatters

Even with more listings than in the past few months, one of the biggest topics in today’s real estate news is the shortage of available homes for sale.  Simply put, demand exceeds supply, and that equals a seller’s market.  

As a seller, it means your home will likely get more attention and offers.  However, as life returns to a new “normal”, you could be wondering if that’s something that will change.

While some blame for the current inventory shortage may go to the pandemic, it can’t take all the credit.  It did cause some sellers to hold off on listing their houses over the past year, but the truth is the low supply was years in the making. 

 

Where Did the Shortage Come From?

It’s not just today’s high buyer demand.  The low supply goes hand in hand with the number of new homes built over the past decades.  According to Sam Khater, VP and Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, “The main driver of the housing shortfall has been the long-term decline in the construction of single-family homes.”  

Data from a recent report from NAR tells the same story.  New home construction has been lagging behind the norm for quite some time.  Historically, builders completed an average of 1.5 million new units per year.  However, since the housing bubble of 2008, the level of new home construction has fallen off.

The NAR report stated, “the underbuilding gap in the U.S. totaled more than 5.5 million housing units in the last 20 years.  Looking ahead, in order to fill an underbuilding gap of approximately 5.5 million housing units during the next 10 years, while accounting for historical growth, new construction would need to accelerate to a pace that is well above the current trend, to more than 2 million housing units per year”.

What that means is that if we build even more new homes than the norm every year, it will still take a decade to close the underbuilding gap contributing to today’s supply and demand mix.  

We are already starting to see an increase in new home construction but this alone can’t bridge the supply gap we’re facing right now.

In the State of the Nation’s Housing 2021 Report, the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University says:

“…Although part of the answer to the nation’s housing shortage, new construction can only do so much to ease short-term constraints.  To meet today’s strong demand, more existing single-family homes must come on the market.”

 

Early Indicators Show More Exiting-Home Inventory Is on Its Way

The latest reports show that the housing supply is growing gradually month-over-month, both nationally and here in Colorado Springs.  

According to Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist for NAR, “As the inventory is beginning to pick up ever so modestly, we are still facing a housing shortage, but we may have turned a corner”.

 

What Does All of This Mean to YOU?

Just because life is starting to return to a “new” normal, it doesn’t mean you missed out on the best time to sell.  It’s not at all too late to take advantage of today’s seller’s market and use rising equity and low interest rates to make your next move.

If this is something you’ve even considered, give me a call and let’s see how we can make your Residential real estate dreams come true.

HARRY'S BI-WEEKLY UPDATE 8.9.21

by Harry Salzman

August 9, 2021

 

HARRY’S BI-WEEKLY UPDATE

A Current Look at the Colorado Springs Residential real estate Market

As part of my Special Brand of Customer Service, it is my desire to share current real estate issues that will help to make you a more successful and profitable buyer or seller.

 

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RESIDENTIAL real estate IS STARTING TO SLOWLY “NORMALIZE” BUT MANY THINGS REMAIN UNCHANGED

In recent months I’ve been telling you about the difficulties that buyers have been experiencing and while there are still potential roadblocks to finding the home of your dreams, things are starting to look up a bit.

Let’s start with the average and median sales prices.  As you will see, they are down from June, but still considerably up year-over-year.  Some reasons for the slight downward shift include more existing homes for sale—26.3 % more active listings in July vs. June, and of course, the price point has kept some potential buyers out of the market.  

So, the good news is that there are more homes from which to choose, but unfortunately there are still more potential buyers than there are homes, so the bidding wars and fast turnaround times are still with us.

I’ve had several listings in the past couple of weeks, all of which sold within days of listing.  Great for the sellers, but still a little tough for buyers.  I’m finding more folks interested in testing the market right now while prices are still at all time highs. With the month-over-month sales and median prices starting to trend lower than the recent past, some potential sellers want to make certain they get the best price possible for their current home while possibly taking advantage of a slightly lower price point on the new one.

Many folks are wanting to take advantage of the still low interest rates and worry that possible impending inflation could ramp them up.  I personally don’t know which way the rates will go and have stopped trying to make predictions.  However, I don’t see rates staying this low forever.  

The important thing to consider is still the monthly cost of purchasing a new home, rather than the price.  If you are selling to trade up it’s likely that your present home has more equity than you might think.  Therefore, your down payment coupled with the low interest rates could possibly keep your monthly output the same or not too much more.  

NOW is the time to get started if you’ve even considered a move.  Prices aren’t going down anytime soon, and mortgage rates essentially have nowhere to go but up.  It shouldn’t take long to sell your present home and it will likely go for far more than you might imagine.  However, finding a replacement will likely take some time so it’s best to start in that direction first.  

Meanwhile, the best move you can make right now is to call me at 593.1000 or email me at Harry@HarrySalzman.com to get any and all of your questions answered.  I look forward to speaking with you and helping to make all your Residential real estate dreams come true.

 

AND TO ILLUSTRATE WHAT I JUST WROTE…

Keeping Current Matters, 7.21

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JULY 2021

Statistics provided by the Pikes Peak REALTORS Service Corp., or it’s PPMLS

Here are some highlights from the July 2021 PPAR report.  The format of this report no longer provides monthly statistics for each individual neighborhood.  However, if you are interested in what’s happening in your neighborhood, I can provide you with this information through other means.

In El Paso County, the average days on the market for single family/patio homes was a very low 6.  For condo/townhomes it was 5.  

Also in El Paso County, the sales price/list price for single family/patio homes was 104.4% and for condo/townhomes it was 104.3%.  

Please click here to view the detailed 10-page report, including charts.  If you have any questions about the report or to find out how it relates to your individual situation, just give me a call.

In comparing July 2021 to July 2020 for All Homes in PPAR:

                        

                      Single Family/Patio Homes:

·       New Listings were 2,176, Up 10.5%

·       Number of Sales were 1,844, Down 6.8%

·       Average Sales Price was $501,138, Up 17.2%

·       Median Sales Price was $450,000, Up 19.4%

·       Total Active Listings are 981, Down 29.4%

·       Months Supply is 0.5, Up 4.3%

 

 

Condo/Townhomes:

·       New Listings were 317, Up 2.6% 

·       Number of Sales were 241, Down 8.4%

·       Average Sales Price was $324,807, Up 17.4%

·       Median Sales Price was $315,000, Up 25.5%

·       Total Active Listings are 104, Down 35.8%

·       Months Supply is 0.4, Up 4.3%

 

Now a look at more statistics…

 

JULY 2021 MONTHLY INDICATORS AND LOCAL MARKET UPDATE ILLUSTRATE OUR LOCAL TRENDS IN DETAIL

Colorado Association of REALTORS® , Pikes Peak REALTORS Service Corp, or it’s PPMLS

Providing greater detail than the above report, this contains information on both El Paso and Teller counties for Residential real estate 

The “Activity Snapshot” for all residential properties in El Paso and Teller counties shows the Year to Date one-year change:

 

  • Sold Listings for All Properties were Down 6.3%

 

  • Median Sales Price for All Properties was Up 19.2%

 

  • Active Listings on All Properties were Down 38.6%

 

You can click here to read the 16-page Monthly Indicators or click here to get specific information on the geographical area of your choice from the 18-page Local Market Update.  I recommend that you check out your own area or one that you are considering, to get a good idea of the local pulse.  As an example, here is a detailed report on the Colorado Springs area in general:

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WAITING TO BUY COULD COST YOU…

Keeping Current Matters, 7.21

 

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Some Highlights:

  • If you’re thinking of buying a home but wondering if waiting a few years will save you in the long run, it’s time to think again.

 

  • The longer you wait, the more you’ll pay, especially when mortgage rates and home prices rise.  Even the slightest change in the mortgage rate can have a big impact on your buying power, no matter your price point.

 

UCCS ECONOMIC FORUM UPDATE

College of Business, UCCS, updated 7.30.21

As always, I’ve included the most recent economic update from the UCCS Economic Forum.  It provides data concerning all aspects of the economy, on both the National and Colorado Springs levels.  

I’ve reproduced just one of the charts below.  You can click here to read the entire report and if you have any questions, please give me a call.

 

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Harry A Salzman
ERA Shields / Salzman Real Estate Services
6385 Corporate Drive, Suite 301
Colorado Springs CO 80919
719-593-1000
Cell: 719-231-1285
Fax: 719-548-9357

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