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COLORADO SPRINGS JOB MARKET IS LOOKING HEALTHIER

by Harry Salzman

March 19, 2012

HARRY’S WEEKLY UPDATE
A CURRENT LOOK AT THE COLORADO SPRINGS RESIDENTIAL real estate MARKET


COLORADO SPRINGS JOB MARKET IS LOOKING HEALTHIER
The Gazette: March 12, 2012

The job market outlook in the Colorado Springs area for the second quarter is among the best in the past 3 ½ years,
according to a quarterly employment survey by temporary staffing giant Manpower.

The area’s outlook for the April-June quarter ranks among the top third of the nation’s 100 largest metropolitan areas, with
19% of local employers planning additional hiring.


NEW SURVEY SHOWS AMERICANS UPBEAT ABOUT HOME VALUES
Daily real estate News: Friday March 16, 2012

The latest Outlook Survey shows that 70% of Americans say they are confident that property values will rise within the next two years. Furthermore, 63% say that they still view real estate as a good investment.

96% of the 1000 people surveyed (these are people who are in the market to buy or sell a home) say that now is a good time to purchase a home.

We couldn’t agree more !!! Low mortgage interest rates, low prices and a good inventory of available homes to choose from all add up to a great opportunity for Buyers. …Call us to cash in on this ‘once-in-a-lifetime’ market.

Call us at 598-3200, or, 800 677-6683 (MOVE).


HOUSING STARTS INDICATE THAT HOUSING MAY BOOST THE ECONOMY IN 2012
Bloomberg Businessweek: March 18, 2012

Spurred by rising employment and record-low mortgage rates, buyers are wading back into the market. Indicators are that housing may become a major net-contributor to the U.S. economy for the first time since 2006.

Peter de Bruin, an economist with ABN Amro Group, has been the most accurate forecaster of new-home sales in the two years ended Feb. 1, 2012, states that, “Housing will contribute modestly to recovery this year, and we will see a sustained recovery in 2013 through 2015.”

Existing-home sales reached their fastest pace in 20 months in January and more Americans that forecast signed contracts to buy, according to NAR.

Some of the upbeat data in the Bloomberg Businessweek article show that housing starts are up 20%, Homebuilder confidence is up 122%, and the increase in lumber moved by railcar was 26%.

That’s the good news …The bad news is that, if you wait much longer to buy your new home, inventory will be smaller, thus forcing prices up, and rates will be higher, thus forcing monthly payments up. (The Department of Numbers Website reports that, in the 146 major metro areas it tracks, Sellers’ asking prices were up 3.69% on the year. This marks the first time in six years that the numbers have gone positive).

The bottom line: Buy now. Call us at 598-3200, or, 800 677-6683 (MOVE).


NOW IS A GOOD TIME TO THINK ABOUT BUYING A RENTAL PROPERTY

Fannie Mae’s February 2012 National Housing Survey shows that both renters and landlords expect home prices and rents to increase over the next 12 months.

On average, the survey respondents expect home rental prices to increase by 3.5% over the next 12 months.

In fact, the Wall Street Journal (Monday, March 19, 2012) reports that some of the biggest names on Wall Street are lining up to become landlords by bidding on pools of foreclosed properties being sold by Fannie Mae.

WSJ goes on to point out that rentals promise a relatively high rate of return compared with other investments right now.

Warren Buffett, considered a sage investor and chief executive of Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. said in an interview with CNBC-TV last month that he would buy up “a couple hundred thousand” single-family homes, given the high yields on rental investments.

Bottom line: You can buy a rental property today for less than it will cost you tomorrow, and the income you derive from that property will increase every year.

Call us at 598-3200, or, 800 677-6683 (MOVE), to discuss how you can take advantage of the current opportunity to add rental income to your investment portfolio.


FRONTIER AIRLINES TO INCREASE DIRECT FLIGHTS FROM COLORADO SPRINGS
The Colorado Springs Business Journal – March 22, 2012

Frontier Airlines has named Colorado Springs as one of their first ‘focus cities” and will start four non-stop flights out of the Colorado Springs airport in May. The target cities for the flights will be Phoenix, Los Angeles, Portland and Seattle.

The new flights will feature the 138-seat Airbus A319 and Frontier will lower ticket prices, so they can fill the planes.

Frontier already has strong bookings on the new flights and has stated they are impressed with the direct bookings and are very excited about the new flights.

The Colorado Springs Economic Development Corps is also very excited about the news and feels they will assist them in their effort to attract new businesses to our city.

These new flights will be more efficient for the business traveler and will make our local ticket prices competitive with Denver airline prices. As other airlines adjust their prices to compete, ticket prices for other local flights should also go down.
This is another piece of good news for our area and demonstrates that our local economy is getting better every day.


MORTGAGE RATES INCH UP ON POSITIVE ECONOMIC DATA
Housingwire: March 15,2012

Freddie Mac announced that mortgage rates rose across the board this past week on positive jobs data and increasing bond yields

The 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage hit 3.92% for the week ending March 15, up from 3.88% the previous week (and down from 4.76% a year ago).

So, “times a’wastin”.. Don’t wait for rates to go down any further. It looks like, as the economy recovers, mortgage rates are starting to go up.


HOME PURCHASES IN FEBRUARY IN THE U.S. CLIMBED TO HIGHEST LEVEL IN TWO YEARS
Bloomberg News, March 18, 2012

Home purchases in the U.S. probably climbed in February to the highest level in almost two years, another sign of stabilization in the real-estate market, economists said reports this week will show.

Combined sales of new and previously owned properties rose to 4.93 million at an annual rate, the strongest since May 2010, from 4.89 million in January, according to the median forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey.

Job and income gains, cheaper homes and the lowest mortgage rates on record have combined to push affordability to an all- time high. With fewer new dwellings on the market, residential construction may be poised to contribute more to economic growth this year.

“The evidence is very clear that housing is beginning to improve,” said Russell Price, a senior economist at Ameriprise Financial Inc. in Detroit. “I do not expect housing to be a drag on GDP this year. It started to be a modest positive contributor last year. Now that it’s actually contributing again, that’s a significant turn of events.”

The National Association of Realtors will release its existing-home sales data on March 21. Purchases increased 0.7 percent to a 21-month high 4.6 million at an annual rate, after a 4.57 million pace in January, according to the Bloomberg survey median.

Sales of new homes in February climbed to a 325,000 annual rate, the fastest since December 2010, from 321,000 the prior month, the survey median showed. The report is due from the Commerce Department on March 23.

The improvement in the labor market has contributed to the recent housing gains. Payrolls rose in February, capping the best six-month increase since 2006, while the jobless rate held at a three-year low, according to Labor Department figures.

Housing Starts

Builders in February broke ground on 700,000 homes at an annual pace, the most in three months, economists said ahead of March 20 figures from the Commerce Department. That same report may show the strongest pace of building permits, a sign of future construction, since March 2010.

“All the economic signs seem to be positive in terms of consumer confidence, interest rates, unemployment levels,” Martin Connor, chief financial officer at Toll Brothers Inc., said March 5 at a investors’ conference in Orlando, Florida.

The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage reached an all-time low of 3.87 percent in February, according to data from Freddie Mac.

A measure of housing affordability a month earlier climbed to 206.1, according to the National Association of Realtors. A value of 100 means that a family with the national median income has enough to qualify for a median-priced property.

WOW !!!! How much good news can we take?

 

SALES AND LISTING STATISTICS

CLICK HERE for the latest Sales and Listing data on the Pikes Peak area from the Pikes Peak Association of Realtors.

And, please remember, I would be honored to serve as your Broker for all of your residential real estate needs. I want to help you, my reader, make the most prudent and accurate Real Estate business decision.

Also if you know of anyone who desires to buy or sell local real estate, or, who is moving in or out of the Pikes Peak region, remember that, with over 39 years of providing relocation and Real Estate services to clients throughout the country, I am uniquely qualified to assist them with the relocation process, including buying and/or selling their homes on both ends of their move. Please allow me to implement my negotiating skills on your behalf. Call us at 598-3200,or, 800 877-MOVE (6683).


JOKE OF THE WEEK

Hollywood Squares:
These great questions and answers are from the days when ' Hollywood Squares' game show responses were spontaneous, Not scripted, as they are now. Peter Marshall was the host asking the questions, of course..

Q.. Paul, what is a good reason for pounding meat?
A. Paul Lynde: Loneliness! (The audience laughed so long and so hard it took up almost 15 minutes of the show!)

Q.. Do female frogs croak?
A. Paul Lynde: If you hold their little heads under water long enough.

Q. If you're going to make a parachute jump, at least how high should you be
A. Charley Weaver: Three days of steady drinking should do it..

Q.True or False, a pea can last as long as 5,000 years...
A. George Gobel: Boy, it sure seems that way sometimes.

Q.You've been having trouble going to sleep. Are you probably a man or a woman?
A.. Don Knotts: That's what's been keeping me awake.

Q. According to Cosmopolitan, if you meet a stranger at a party and you
think that he is attractive, is it okay to come out and ask him if he's married?
A.. Rose Marie: No wait until morning.

Q.Which of your five senses tends to diminish as you get older?
A. Charley Weaver: My sense of decency..

Q.In Hawaiian, does it take more than three words to say 'I Love You'?
A. Vincent Price: No, you can say it with a pineapple and a twenty..

Q.What are 'Do It,' 'I Can Help,' and 'I Can't Get Enough'?
A. George Gobel: I don't know, but it's coming from the next apartment.

Q.As you grow older, do you tend to gesture more or less
with your hands while talking?
A.Rose Marie: You ask me one more growing old question Peter,
and I'll give you a gesture you'll never forget.

Q..Paul, why do Hell's Angels wear leather?
A. Paul Lynde: Because chiffon wrinkles .

Q..Charley, you've just decided to grow strawberries.
Are you going to get any during the first year?
A.. Charley Weaver: Of course not, I'm too busy growing strawberries.

Q.In bowling, what's a perfect score?
A. Rose Marie: Ralph, the pin boy.

Q. It is considered in bad taste to discuss two subjects at nudist camps... One is politics,
what is the other?
A. Paul Lynde: Tape measures..

Q.During a tornado, are you safer in the bedroom or in the closet?
A. Rose Marie: Unfortunately Peter, I'm always safe in the bedroom.

Q.Can boys join the Camp Fire Girls?
A.. Marty Allen: Only after lights out.

Q.When you pat a dog on its head he will wag his tail.
What will a goose do?
A. Paul Lynde: Make him bark?

Q.If you were pregnant for two years, what would you give birth to?
A. Paul Lynde: Whatever it is, it would never be afraid of the dark..

Q.According to Ann Landers, is there anything wrong with getting into
the habit of kissing a lot of people?
A. Charley Weaver: It got me out of the Navy!

Q. Back in the old days, when Great Grandpa put horseradish on his head,
what was he trying to do?
A. George Gobel: Get it in his mouth.

Q.Who stays pregnant for a longer period of time, your wife or your elephant?
A. Paul Lynde: Who told you about my elephant?

Q. When a couple have a baby, who is responsible for its sex?
A... Charley Weaver: I'll lend him the car, the rest is up to him

Q.Jackie Gleason recently revealed that he firmly believes in them and has
actually seen them on at least two occasions What are they?
A. Charley Weaver: His feet.

Q.According to Ann Landers, what are two things you should never do in bed?
A. Paul Lynde: Point and laugh

WE DON'T STOP LAUGHING BECAUSE WE GROW OLD,
WE GROW OLD BECAUSE WE STOP LAUGHING

 

March 12, 2012


HARRY’S WEEKLY UPDATE
A CURRENT LOOK AT THE COLORADO SPRINGS RESIDENTIAL real estate MARKET


GOOD NEWS !!! COLORADO SPRINGS HOMES SELLING BETTER IN 2012 THAN LAST YEAR
The Gazette, Wednesday Mar. 7, 2012

The Gazette reports that local home sales hit 514 in February, 2012. This represents a 14.7% rise in sales over 2011 and marks the 8th straight month of increasing local sales. So far in 2012, our local housing market has shown an 8.8% rise in the number of sales over the same period last year.

Considering the fact that this is an election year, it is very likely that the government will take whatever actions are necessary to boost home prices during the rest of the year. So, with higher prices, low rates, shrinking inventory ….If you have been on the fence about buying or selling your home, now is certainly the time to make your move.

Call us at 598-3200, or, 800 677-6683 (MOVE).


HOUSING AFFORDABILITY REACHES NEW RECORD HIGH

Housing affordability rose to a record high during the fourth quarter of 2011, which means that a home buyer’s purchasing power is greater than it has ever been since record-keeping began in 1970, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index.

NAR’s Housing Affordability Index rose to a record high 206.1 in January, based on the relationship between median home price, median family income and average mortgage interest rate. The higher the index, the greater the household purchasing power.

An index of 100 is defined as the point where a median-income household has exactly enough income to qualify for the purchase of a median-priced existing single-family home, assuming a 20 percent down payment and 25 percent of gross income devoted to mortgage principal and interest payments. For first-time buyers making small down payments, the affordability levels are relatively lower. Based upon these parameters, the Index showed that 75.9% of all new and existing homes sold in the fourth quarter were affordable to families earning the national median income of $64,200. This marks the highest percentage recorded in the index’s 20-year history.

NAR President Moe Veissi, said this latest data underscores buyer opportunities in today’s market. “This is the first time the housing affordability index has broken the two hundred mark, meaning the typical family has roughly double the income needed to purchase a median-priced home,” he said. “For buyers who can qualify for a mortgage, now is a very good time to become a homeowner.”

NAR projects the affordability index for all of 2012 will be at an annual high, with little movement in mortgage interest rates or home prices during the year. “Housing inventory levels have declined to a point where conditions are becoming much more balanced in much of the country,” Veissi said. “If access to credit improves, we could see a much more meaningful increase in home sales and broader stabilization in home prices with modest gains in areas with stronger job growth.”

Considering today’s low prices, low mortgage-interest rates and high inventories of available homes, it’s obvious that now is the time to buy your new home, or to acquire that rental property.

Call us at 598-3200, or, 800-677-6683, to discuss this opportunity.

 

WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT CANCELATION OF MORTGAGE DEBT
By Linda Goold, Tax Counsel for National Association of REALTORS®.

A lender will, on occasion, forgive some portion of a borrower’s debt. The general tax rule that applies to any debt forgiveness is that the amount forgiven is treated as taxable income to the borrower. Some exceptions to this rule are available, but, until recently, the borrower was required to pay tax on the debt forgiven. A new law enacted in December 2007 provides relief to troubled borrowers when some portion of mortgage debt is forgiven. However, this relief expires on December 31, 2012 and NAR will be working to obtain an extension throughout the year.

Below is some general information you need to know about this law and cancellation of mortgage debt.

General Rule for Debt Forgiveness
If a lender forgives some or all of an individual’s debts, the general rule is that the forgiven amount is treated as ordinary income and the borrower must pay tax on the forgiven amount. Exceptions apply for bankruptcy, insolvency and certain other situations, including mortgage debt.

Current Law for Mortgage Debt
(Jan. 1, 2007 through Dec. 31, 2012): A borrower can be excused from paying tax on forgiven mortgage debt. The debt must be secured by a principal residence and the total amount of the outstanding obligation may not exceed the original mortgage amount plus the cost of any improvements.

Does the relief apply only to a sale?
No. The provision has broader application. Lenders might forgive some portion of mortgage debt in a short sale (when value at sale is less than the amount owed) or in a foreclosure where the debt is wiped out. In addition, if a borrower still living in the home is able to make an arrangement with a lender that reduces the principal balance of a mortgage, the amount forgiven in that workout will not be taxed.

Can the homeowners in a short sale or foreclosure claim a loss?
No. The loss is considered a personal loss and is, therefore, ineligible for either capital loss or ordinary loss treatment.

What happens to the seller when mortgage debt is forgiven?
Until January 1, 2013, the homeowner will pay no tax on any forgiven amount.

Does this provision apply to a refinanced mortgage?
Only in limited circumstances. The relief provision can apply to either an original or a refinanced mortgage. If the mortgage has been refinanced at any time, the relief is available only up to the amount of the original debt (plus the cost of any improvements). Tax relief is generally not available for second mortgages or home-equity lines of credit where the funds are not used for home improvement. Any amount that is not eligible for the relief provision will be taxed as ordinary income.

How does the homeowner get the correct information to the IRS?
The lender is required to provide the homeowner and the IRS with a Form 1099 reflecting the amount of the forgiven debt. The borrower/homeowner must file a Form 982 to reflect the amount forgiven and to show the reason why the forgiven amount is not taxable. Any taxable portion of forgiven debt will then be reported on the homeowner’s Form 1040 for the tax year in which the debt was forgiven.

What if a property declines in value but the owner stays in the house?
The provision would not apply. The provision applies only at the time of sale or other disposition or when there is a workout (reduction of existing debt) with the lender.

Do all lenders forgive mortgage debt when property values decline or the home is in foreclosure?
No. Some states have laws that allow a lender to require a repayment arrangement, particularly if the borrower has other assets. Forgiveness of debt is always at the lender’s discretion.


SMALL BUSINESS OWNERS, TAKE NOTE. …CUSTOMERS ARE LOOKING FOR YOU ONLINE
real estate Trends March 11, 2012

As a business owner operating in a local market, the reliance of consumers on their smart phone and tablet devices has put you in the position to capitalize more so than ever before. The way in which the technology, mobile apps and social media have come together has placed the focus on “local” more so than ever before.

A recent study by comScore revealed that 64 percent of tablet owners are searching weekly and 61 percent of smart phone users conduct local searches from their device. In addition, the report shows a 67 percent increase in social network local business searches since 2010. One thing we know about social network users is that they are in large part accessing from their mobile device.

Take for a moment a real life scenario; you’re out to dinner with friends and you mention you are going to need a plumber. Your friend replies, “I know a great company you should work with.” The common practice in many social circles now-a-days is to immediately Google or look up that recommendation through a social network from your mobile device. We’ve all done this in one form or another.

This means that your information not only needs to be accessible and updated in the various business profiles and on maps in engines like Google, Bing and Yahoo, but it also means that the link to your website needs to work on mobile and tablet devices as well as it does on PCs. Your brand and your information need to be consistent no matter the device the consumer is using.

The old days of just advertising your business in the Yellow Pages are gone forever.

 

SALES AND LISTING STATISTICS

Click here to see the latest PPAR statistics regarding area sales and listings And be sure to give us a call, if you have any questions, or would like to discuss these statistics in more detail. Call us at 598-3200, or, 800 677-6683.

And, please remember, I would be honored to serve as your Broker for all of your residential real estate needs. I want to help you, my reader, make the most prudent and accurate Real Estate business decision.

Also if you know of anyone who desires to buy or sell local real estate, or, who is moving in or out of the Pikes Peak region, remember that, with over 39 years of providing relocation and Real Estate services to clients throughout the country, I am uniquely qualified to assist them with the relocation process, including buying and/or selling their homes on both ends of their move. Please allow me to implement my negotiating skills on your behalf. Call us at 598-3200,or, 800 877-MOVE (6683).


JOKE OF THE WEEK

RETIRED/BORED HUSBAND

After I retired, my wife insisted that I accompany her on her trips to Target. Unfortunately, like most men, I found shopping boring and preferred to get in and get out. Equally unfortunate, my wife is like most women - she loves to browse. Yesterday my dear wife received the following letter from the local Target:

Dear Mrs. Harris, Over the past six months, your husband has caused quite a commotion in our store. We cannot tolerate this behavior and have been forced to ban both of you from the store. Our complaints against your husband, Mr. Harris, are listed below and are documented by our video surveillance cameras:
• June 15: He took 24 boxes of condoms and randomly put them in other people's carts when they weren't looking.
• July 2: Set all the alarm clocks in Housewares to go off at 5-minute intervals.
• July 19: Walked up to an employee and told her in an official voice, 'Code 3 in Housewares. Get on it right away'. This caused the employee to leave her assigned station and receive a reprimand from her Supervisor that in turn resulted with a union grievance, causing management to lose time and costing the company money.
• August 4: Went to the Service Desk and tried to put a bag of M&Ms on layaway.
• August 14: Moved a 'CAUTION - WET FLOOR' sign to a carpeted area.
• August 23: When a clerk asked if they could help him he began crying and screamed, 'Why can't you people just leave me alone?' EMTs were called.
• September 10: While handling guns in the hunting department, he asked the clerk where the antidepressants were.
• October 3: Darted around the Store suspiciously while loudly humming the ' Mission Impossible' theme.
• October 18: Hid in a clothing rack and when people browsed through, he yelled 'PICK ME! PICK ME!'
• October 22: When an announcement came over the loud speaker, he assumed a fetal position and screamed 'OH NO! IT'S THOSE VOICES AGAIN!'
And last, but not least:
• October 23: Went into a fitting room, shut the door, waited awhile, and then yelled very loudly, 'Hey! There's no toilet paper in here.' One of the clerks passed out.

Some people just have no sense of humor !!!

 

Latest Local Statistics are Looking Good

by Harry Salzman

March 5, 2012

HARRY’S WEEKLY UPDATE

A CURRENT LOOK AT THE COLORADO SPRINGS RESIDENTIAL real estate MARKET

 

LATEST LOCAL STATISTICS ARE LOOKING GOOD !!

The February PPAR statistics were just released today, and our numbers are looking good. The number of sales in February was up 8.4%, the average sales price went up 3.8% in one month, and the median sales price went up 2.6% in one month. Those numbers indicate that our local market is getting much more active. .

Another indicator that things are getting better is that our inventory of available homes has gone down by over 1000 homes since last year (3224 vs 4315). That’s a 25.3% reduction and a good indication that we are working through the foreclosure problem.

The most recent PPAR statistics regarding sales and listings in the Pikes Peak area will provide you with extensive data to assist you with your decision about buying or selling your home. We would be happy to discuss these statistics with you and to review the sales history of the neighborhoods that interests you.. Just call us at 598-3200 or 800 677-6683(MOVE)

Click here to see the most recent statistics

 

AND, LOCAL, NEW-HOME CONSTRUCTION IS UP

The Gazette (March 2, 2012) tells us that last month was the 2nd- best February in 5 years for home building permits. Permits totaled 110 in February in Colorado Springs and El Paso County, according to the Pikes Peak Regional Building Department. That’s up nearly 70% over the same month in 2011. And, for the first two months in 2012, permits totaled 195, a one-third, year-over-year increase.

 

PENDING SALES OF EXISTING HOMES UP TO ALMOST A TWO-YEAR HIGH

RIS Media - March 4, 2012

More Americans are signing contracts to buy existing homes than at any time in nearly two years, boosting the housing industry’s slow recovery, according to the National Association of REALTORS®’ index of pending home sales.

The measure is up 2 percent to 97 in January after slipping 1.9 percent in December. The index of deals for previously owned homes is up 8 percent compared with January of 2011.

Last month saw the highest point on the index since April 2010, when consumers drawn by a home-buyer tax credit pushed the figure to 111.3. That was the last time the measure exceeded 100 — the benchmark for industry health. The REALTORS® group said last week that existing home sales in January were up more than 4 percent to an annual rate of 4.57 million.

Housing experts such as Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, credit the sliding unemployment rate—which fell in January to its lowest point in three years —as well as a downward trend in home prices and a supply of homes that is at a nearly seven-year low.

“Movements in the index have been uneven, reflecting the head winds of tight credit, but job gains, high affordability and rising rents are hopefully pushing the market into what appears to be a sustained housing recovery,” Yun says in a statement.

 

HOW IS THE NATIONAL ECONOMY DOING? IT LOOKS LIKE IT IS PICKING UP SPEED

The Gazette (Thursday, March 1, 2012) reports that stronger hiring and higher pay and savings should support solid growth for the economy in coming months, according to a recent report on economic growth from the Commerce department.

The economy grew at a 3% annual rate in the October-December quarter, up from the previous estimate of 2.8%, the Commerce department said.

Economists stressed that the fundamental drivers of the economy – incomes, consumer spending and business investment – are rising.

The unemployment rate has fallen for five straight months. Consumer confidence rose in February to the highest point in a year, which should lead to more spending and faster growth

The Fed said Wednesday that all 12 of its banking districts reported some level of growth in January.

In a related story, The Wall Street Journal (Friday, March 2, 2012) also reported that there are other hopeful signs that the foundation for healthy growth are beginning to take root. Recent job gains have been broader-based and longer-lasting than at other points in the recovery. Household saving is up and the home-building market is showing signs of improvement.

Finally, REALTORMag (Feb. 28, 2012) reports the inventory of new homes on the market shrank to its lowest point on record in January, marking a 5.6 month supply at the current sales pace, according to the Commerce Department. They also noted that new home sales were up 3.5%, compared to the same time last year.

“This is indicative of the incremental, steady progress that the market is making toward recovery in conjunction with modest economic and job growth”, said David Crowe, the National Association of Home Builders chief economist.

“Increasingly, potential buyers are feeling better about their financial situation and their ability to buy a home, but the challenges posed by tight credit conditions and appraisal issues continue to slow that process”, Crowe said.

 

FINALLY, EVEN WARREN BUFFETT SAYS IT’S TIME TO BUY

In his Feb. 25 letter to Berkshire Hathaway Inc., Warren Buffet says. “I’m optimistic again. Housing will come back- you can be sure of that. Every day we are creating more households than housing units. People may postpone getting married during uncertain times, but eventually hormones take over and, while ‘doubling up’ may be the initial reaction during a recession, living with in-laws can quickly lose its allure”

That Warren sure is a romantic son of a gun.

 

BOTTTOM LINE: IT’S TIME TO GET OFF THE FENCE AND BUY THAT NEW HOME

Prices are down ….rates are low …Inventory is beginning to shrink and you’ll never see this kind of opportunity again.

Call us at 598-3200, or, 800 677-6683(MOVE).

 

AND, IF ALL OF THIS DOESN’T PERSUADE YOU, HERE’S ANOTHER REASON TO BUY NOW …FHA WILL SOON RAISE ITS FEES

In an effort to try to recoup some of its depleted reserves, and in an effort to encourage the return of more private capital to the market, FHA announced on Monday, Feb. 27, 2012, that it will soon raise its fees.

Specifically, FHA will increase two fees that borrowers pay. Starting April 1, it will increase its annual mortgage insurance premiums for loans under $625,500, bringing the total cost from 1.15% of the loan amount to 1.25%. Starting June 1, 2012, larger loan premiums will see an increase of 0.35% of a percentage point, bringing the total premium costs up to 1.5% of the loan amount.

FHA also announced it will raise a fee for the upfront mortgage premium by 0.75 of a percentage point, which will now total 1.75% of the loan amount

These new fees will also apply to home owners who want to refinance their mortgages, the agency announced

BOTTOM LINE: Call us at 598-3200, or, 800 677-6683(MOVE) to discuss these fee increases and to discuss how they could affect your home-buying decision.

And, please remember, I would be honored to serve as your Broker for all of your residential real estate needs. I want to help you, my reader, make the most prudent and accurate Real Estate business decision.

Also if you know of anyone who desires to buy or sell local real estate, or, who is moving in or out of the Pikes Peak region, remember that, with over 39 years of providing relocation and Real Estate services to clients throughout the country, I am uniquely qualified to assist them with the relocation process, including buying and/or selling their homes on both ends of their move. Please allow me to implement my negotiating skills on your behalf.

Just click on the icon at the top of this email to listen to my latest podcast. ….And, if you would like to learn more about our Job Loss Protection Program, please contact us.

 

JOKE OF THE WEEK

On the first day, God created the monkey and said, "Enjoy yourself, entertain people, do tricks, and make them laugh. For this, I'll give you a thirty-year life span." The monkey said, "Monkey tricks for thirty years? That's a pretty long time to perform. How about I give you back twenty?"

And God, again saw that it was good.

On the second day, God created the cow and said, "You must go into the field with the farmer all day long and suffer under the sun, have calves and give milk to support the farmer's family. For this, I will give you a life span of sixty years." The cow said, "That's kind of a tough life you want me to live for sixty years. How about twenty and I'll give back the other forty?" 

And God agreed that it was good.

On the third day, God created the dog and said, "Sit all day on the front porch of your owner’s house and bark at anyone who walks past or tries to come in. For this, I will give you a life span of twenty years." The dog said, "That's a long time to be barking. How about only ten years and I'll give you back the other ten"

And God saw that it was good.

On the fourth day, God created humans and said, "Eat, sleep, play, marry and enjoy your life. For this, I'll give you twenty years." But the human said, "Only twenty years? Could you possibly give me my twenty, the twenty the monkey gave back, the forty the cow gave back and the ten the dog gave back; that makes eighty, okay?"

"Okay," said God, "You asked for it."

So that is why for our first twenty years, we eat, sleep, play and cavort like monkeys. For the next forty years, we slave in the sun to support our family. And for the last ten years, we sit on the front porch and bark at everyone. 

Life has now been explained to you. There is no need to thank me for this valuable information. I'm doing it as a public service. 

If you are looking for me I will be on the front porch.  

HOUSING INVENTORIES DROP, LIST PRICES RISE

by Harry Salzman

February 27, 2012


HARRY’S WEEKLY UPDATE
A CURRENT LOOK AT THE COLORADO SPRINGS RESIDENTIAL real estate MARKET


BABY BOOMERS MEAN BIG BUSINESS FOR EL PASO COUNTY
The Gazette (Feb. 24th, 2012)

Brent Green, CEO of Brent Green & Associates and an expert in generational marketing, discussed "Marketing to Baby Boomers" this week in Colorado Springs. His message was that El Paso County baby boomers could mean big business for those who figure out how to market and create new products and services for the generation with spending power.

Green was among a group of marketing and economic experts who spoke Friday at the Business of Aging Summit, sponsored by the Greater Colorado Springs Chamber and Economic Development Corps.

“Baby boomers are where the wealth and income are –they spend about $2.3 trillion a year and own about $28 trillion in assets. Colorado Springs had better think about how it will develop around this generation with deep pockets.”, said Green.

The boomer population in El Paso County increased nearly 40 percent from 2000 to 2010. That’s double the increase of the total population, according to a report from Innovations in Aging Collaborative and Tucker Hart Adams, from Summit Economics.

Colorado Springs has the assets to become an international test market and incubator for the “longevity revolution, a global business opportunity,” Green said. Boomers will be in search of lifestyle pursuits, adventure vacations and natural and energy efficient products.

And, 26 million of the boomers will relocate. With Colorado Springs being in the top ten targets for retiring boomers, that’s good news for our local housing market.

The business opportunities are endless, Green said. Sixty-seven percent of boomers believe the best years are still ahead of them. “Billions will be made in helping boomers live on their own,” Green said.

“Those who warn of economic catastrophes due to population aging too often peer into the future through a rear view mirror,” Green said. “I propose that the boomer future is robust with transformative business opportunities.”


WHAT’S GOING ON HERE??? ALONG WITH THE GROUNDHOG, THE OPTIMISTS ARE NOW COMING OUT

It has been a long time since we have read any optimistic predictions about the housing market, but this past week has seen some very upbeat news and articles about the real estate market in 2012. The following is a compilation of some of these optimistic articles:


THE WALL STREET JOURNAL SEES RISING HOME SALES AS A HEALTHY SIGN (WSJ Feb. 23, 2012.)

WASHINGTON—Sales of previously owned homes in the U.S. rose last month to the highest level in nearly two years, and the inventory of unsold homes contracted to a level considered healthy by economists, positive signs for the housing market. Compared with January a year ago, sales rose 0.7%.

"We're slowly improving for the right reasons: more jobs, more credit availability and affordability of homes," said Stuart Hoffman, chief economist with PNC Financial Services Group.

Guy Berger, U.S. economist with RBS Capital Markets, wrote, “It seems that the housing sector may have turned the corner."


FEWER HOME OWNERS BEHIND ON PAYMENTS
Daily real estate News | Tuesday, February 21, 2012

The number of home owners behind on their mortgage payments dropped to the lowest level in three years, according to a report of data from the fourth quarter of 2011 released by the Mortgage Bankers Association.

"Mortgage performance is also improving faster than the overall economy," says Jay Brinkmann, MBA's chief economist.

The lower delinquencies serve as an important sign needed for a healing housing market.


HOUSING INVENTORIES DROP, LIST PRICES RISE
Daily real estate News | Tuesday, February 21, 2012

In a growing number of housing markets, sellers are facing less competition now compared to a year ago.
Inventory of for-sale homes has dropped by about 23 percent compared to this time last year and fell by 6 percent alone from December 2011 to January 2012, according to Realtor.com data.

Meanwhile, as inventory is falling, the median list price has been on the rise: up nationally more than 3 percent year-over-year.

“Over the past year, an increasing number of markets have registered year-over-year increases in median list prices while fewer markets have experienced year-over-year list price declines,” a statement by Realtor.com notes.


HOME SALES ON THE RISE: READY FOR SPRING BUYING SEASON?
Daily real estate News | Thursday, February 23, 2012

Existing-home sales rose 4.3 percent in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.57 million, marking the third gain for home sales in the last four months, the National Association of REALTORS® reports.

“The uptrend in home sales is in line with all of the underlying fundamentals – pent-up household formation, record-low mortgage interest rates, bargain home prices, sustained job creation and rising rents,” NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun says.

While sales ticked up, inventories of for-sale homes also continued to show improvement, NAR reported. At the end of January, total housing inventory fell 0.4 percent to 2.31 million existing homes for sale, which represents a 6.1-month supply at the current sales pace.

Unsold listed inventory has steadily dropped since reaching a peak of 4.04 million in July 2007. It now is 20.6 percent below where it was a year ago, NAR reports.

Housing Affordability Improves

As home prices have fallen and mortgage rates at all-time record lows, housing affordability is at some of its highest levels on record.

“Word has been spreading about the record high housing affordability conditions and our members are reporting an increase in foot traffic compared with a year ago,” says NAR President Moe Veissi. “With other favorable market factors, these are hopeful indicators leading into the spring home-buying season. We’re cautiously optimistic that an uptrend will continue this year.”


EXISTING-HOME SALES RISE AGAIN IN JANUARY, INVENTORY DOWN
real estate Trends - February 23, 2012

Existing-home sales rose in January, marking three gains in the past four months, while inventories continued to improve, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 4.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.57 million in January from a downwardly revised 4.38 million-unit pace in December and are 0.7 percent above a spike to 4.54 million in January 2011.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said strong gains in contract activity in recent month’s show buyers are responding to very favorable market conditions. “The uptrend in home sales is in line with all of the underlying fundamentals— pent-up household formation, record-low mortgage interest rates, bargains home prices, sustained job creation and rising rents.”

Total housing inventory at the end of January fell 0.4 percent to 2.31 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 6.1-month supply at the current sales pace, down from a 6.4-month supply in December.

Total unsold listed inventory has trended down from a record 4.04 million in July 2007, and is 20.6 percent below a year ago.

“Home buyers over the past three years have had some of the lowest default rates in history,” Yun says. “Entering the market at a low point and buying at discounted prices have greatly helped in that success.”

In light of all these optimistic reports and predictions, the bottom line for our readers is:

If you are a Seller, you should consider putting your home back on the market as soon as possible. With inventories falling, you won’t have as much competition as you have had in recent years and your home will attract more attention. Keep in mind, however, prices are trending up, so give us a call to help you price your home properly.
Call us at 598-3200 or 800 677-6683(MOVE)

If you are a Buyer, it’s becoming obvious that the home you buy today will be worth more tomorrow, so don’t wait around for lower prices. They probably won’t happen. ….And, the longer you wait, the smaller inventory you will have to choose from.
Call us at 598-3200 or 800 677-6683(MOVE)

 

INVESTORS, TAKE NOTE !!! THE NEW TAX ON SOME INVESTMENT INCOME BEGINS JANUARY 1, 2013

We received a lot of response from our readers about our article in our last Weekly Update concerning the new tax on some investment income. Apparently, this new tax did not receive much publicity in the general media and it took some investors by surprise. So, in case you missed the article, we are reprinting it here:

New tax legislation will affect some real estate income, beginning January 1, 2013. This new tax will affect some, but not all real estate transactions and holdings. Because this is a complicated tax, you should consult with your CPA about its possible effects upon you and your holdings.

Bottom line: If you are planning to sell any investment property, this new tax might affect your decision regarding the timing of the sale. NAR has developed a complete analysis of how the new law might affect you. To see a copy of this informative analysis, CLICK HERE

SALES AND LISTING STATISTICS

The most recent PPAR statistics regarding sales and listings in the Pikes Peak area will provide you with extensive data to assist you with your decision about buying or selling your home. We would be happy to discuss these statistics with you and to review the sales history of the neighborhoods that interests you.. Just call us at 598-3200 or 800 677-6683(MOVE)

Click here to see the most recent statistics.

And, please remember, I would be honored to serve as your Broker for all of your residential real estate needs. I want to help you, my reader, make the most prudent and accurate Real Estate business decision.

Also if you know of anyone who desires to buy or sell local real estate, or, who is moving in or out of the Pikes Peak region, remember that, with over 39 years of providing relocation and Real Estate services to clients throughout the country, I am uniquely qualified to assist them with the relocation process, including buying and/or selling their homes on both ends of their move. Please allow me to implement my negotiating skills on your behalf. Call us at 598-3200, or, 800 877-MOVE (6683).


JOKE OF THE WEEK


THE IMPORTANCE OF WALKING

Walking can add minutes to your life.
This enables you at 85 years old to spend an additional 5 months in a nursing home at $4,000 per month.

My grandpa started walking five miles a day when he was 60.
Now he's 97 years old and we have no idea where the hell he is.

I like long walks, especially when they are taken by people who annoy me.

The only reason I would take up walking is so that I could hear heavy breathing again.

I have to walk early in the morning, before my brain figures out what I'm doing...

I joined a health club last year, spent about 250 bucks. Haven't lost a pound.
Apparently you have to go there!

Every time I hear the dirty word 'exercise', I wash my mouth out with chocolate.

I do have flabby thighs, but fortunately my stomach covers them.

The advantage of exercising every day is so when you die, they'll say,
'Well, he looks good doesn’t he?'

If you are going to try cross-country skiing, start with a small country.

I know I got a lot of exercise the last few years,...... just getting over the hill.

We all get heavier as we get older, because there's a lot more information in our heads.
That's my story and I'm sticking to it.

AND

Every time I start thinking too much about how I look, I just find a bar with a Happy Hour ….
and by the time I leave, I look just fine.

You could run this over to your friends ….But just e-mail it to them …It will save you the walk!

Keep walking! And, have a good laugh

February 20, 2012


HARRY’S WEEKLY UPDATE
A CURRENT LOOK AT THE COLORADO SPRINGS RESIDENTIAL real estate MARKET


THE “QUE” SAYS COLORADO SPRINGS ECONOMY IS THE STRONGEST IN TWO YEARS

The College of Business of the University of Colorado at Colorado Springs has just released its quarterly Update and Estimates for our local economy. This quarterly report, commonly referred to as the “QUE”, has become the authoritative source for information about how our local economy is doing and where it is headed. The following comments about the recent QUE are extracted from the article in the Colorado Springs Business Journal, which reviewed the latest report.

Fred Crowley, chief economist for the Southern Colorado Economic Forum, says, “There are signs that people are ready to spend. The El Paso County economy showed its strongest growth in two years and it did so without artificial efforts like home-buying incentives programs or reinvestment job act money. This time, the economy showed improvement all on its own.”

The report shows strong increases in single-family home sales, car sales and wages. “All of these are really strong indicators”, emphasized Crowley.

“First and foremost, single-family home sales are up 30%. This is a huge number. Single-family permit activity was higher in 10 of the last 12 months and home prices are heading up, while foreclosures continue to head downward. These figures all indicate that the housing market is on its way to becoming stable. …something that did not exist in the last two years.” Crowley stated.

And, there’s good news for the city, too. .In December, sales tax revenues were up 7.1% from a year earlier, to a record $13.4 million. Overall, sales tax collections for the year were up almost 4%.

Crowley summarized, “The local economy is much stronger than I thought it would be. Overall, the news is very positive”.

It looks like our local economy is headed back up….That’s great news !!!

If you would like to see the complete quarterly report (The Que), CLICK HERE.


COLORADO SPRINGS NAMED IN TOP TEN FOR DATA CENTER relocation

The Boyd Company, a New Jersey-based firm that’s established itself as an industry authority for corporate relocations and expansion, places Colorado Springs in the top 10 cities for data security – an industry that’s booming thanks to new banking rules, a digitized health-care industry and high-profile cases of hackers who steal information.

“Colorado Springs has a number of the qualities that match what data companies are looking for, including low operating costs, a strong telecommunications infrastructure and a well-trained workforce” said John Boyd, the firm’s principal.

“The geographical location of Colorado Springs keeps it safe from natural disasters such as earthquakes and hurricanes and data centers would be a good financial partner for the Springs”, Boyd said “because they bring in millions in construction work, offer jobs that pay about $80,000 a year and contribute to the tax base”.

“The government is going to want to get out of the high-cost areas like Washington D.C., New York City and the Bay Area and head inland in favor of more affordable land and operations costs”, Boyd Said.

As for location, Boyd noted, “Colorado Springs is 52% more likely to attract data centers than any other city. And companies looking to build data centers may look favorably because of the number of data centers that already are located here. (Federal Express, Hewlett-Packard, Quantum, Wal-Mart, etc.).”

“We do have quite a few data center projects in the pipeline and, in our judgment, over the course of the next year or so, you will see expansion happening here”, Boyd concluded.

That’s great news for our area.


IS THE NATIONAL ECONOMY RISING? THE STOCK MARKET SAYS, “YES”

On Friday, Feb. 17, 2012, the Wall Street Journal featured an article titled, “Dow Ends Near 4-Year High”. The WSJ credited the rise to signs of an accelerating economic recovery and glimmers of hope on the Greek debt crisis.

If traditional wisdom is correct, the stock market usually indicates what the state of the economy will be for the next 2 quarters. If that’s correct, we can expect the national economy to rise through September of 2012.

That’s good news for the nation and it coincides with the predictions about our local economy that were published in the most recent quarterly report from the UCCS College of Business, (See Above)


HOUSING AFFORDABILITY REACHES NEW RECORD HIGH

Housing affordability rose to a record high during the fourth quarter of 2011, which means that a home buyer’s purchasing power is greater than it has ever been before, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index.

The Index showed that 75.9% of all new and existing homes sold in the fourth quarter were affordable to families earning the national median income of $64,200. This marks the highest percentage recorded in the index’s 20-year history.

Considering today’s low prices, low mortgage-interest rates and high inventories of available homes, it’s obvious that now is the time to buy your new home, or to acquire that rental property.

Call us at 598-3200, or, 800-677-6683, to discuss this opportunity.


INVESTORS, TAKE NOTE !!! NEW TAX ON SOME INVESTMENT INCOME BEGINS JANUARY 1, 2013

New tax legislation will affect some real estate income, beginning January 1, 2013. This new tax will affect some, but not all real estate transactions and holdings. Because this is a complicated tax, you should consult with your CPA about its possible effects upon you and your holdings.

Bottom line: If you are planning to sell any investment property, this new tax might affect your decision regarding the timing of the sale. NAR has developed a complete analysis of how the new law might affect you. To see a copy of this informative analysis, CLICK HERE.

 

WHEN THE BOOMERS BAIL – A COMMUNITY ECONOMIC SURVIVAL GUIDE –

The Senior Resource Council, the Greater Colorado Springs Chamber of Commerce and the EDC are combining to present this month’s Business of Aging Summihas t luncheon. The featured speaker will be Mark Lautman, an economics expert and author of “When the Boomers Bail”, a book which addresses the issue of what communities can do to attract and keep entrepreneurs and young professionals.

Lautman’s approach to the problem of attracting and retaining workers in a labor-starved market is to analyse exit interviews, and then figure out “What things can be fixed and what”.

The luncheon will be held at the Crowne Plaza Hotel, 2886 S. Circle Drive on February 23, 2012.

To register, go to www.coloradospringschamber.org and click on Calendar of Events.


SALES AND LISTING STATISTICS

Click here to see the latest PPAR statistics regarding area sales and listings And be sure to give us a call, if you have any questions, or would like to discuss these statistics in more detail.

Call us at 598-3200, or, 800 677-6683.

And, please remember, I would be honored to serve as your Broker for all of your residential real estate needs. I want to help you, my reader, make the most prudent and accurate Real Estate business decision.

Also if you know of anyone who desires to buy or sell local real estate, or, who is moving in or out of the Pikes Peak region, remember that, with over 39 years of providing relocation and Real Estate services to clients throughout the country, I am uniquely qualified to assist them with the relocation process, including buying and/or selling their homes on both ends of their move. Please allow me to implement my negotiating skills on your behalf. Call us at 598-3200,or, 800 877-MOVE (6683).


JOKE OF THE WEEK


* The problem with political jokes is they get elected. ~Henry Cate, VII

* We hang the petty thieves and appoint the great ones to public office. ~Aesop

* If we got one-tenth of what was promised to us in these speeches, there wouldn't be any inducement to go to heaven. ~Will Rogers

* Those who are too smart to engage in politics are punished by being governed by those who are dumber. ~Plato

* Politicians are the same all over. They promise to build a bridge even where there is no river. ~Nikita Khrushchev

* When I was a boy I was told that anybody could become President; I'm beginning to believe it. ~Clarence Darrow

* Why pay money to have your family tree traced; go into politics and your opponents will do it for you. ~Author Unknown

* If God wanted us to vote, he would have given us candidates. ~Jay Leno

* Politicians are people who, when they see light at the end of the tunnel, go out and buy some more tunnel. ~John Quinton

* Politics is the gentle art of getting votes from the poor and campaign funds from the rich, by promising to protect each from the other. ~Oscar Ameringer

* The Democrats are the party that says government will make you smarter, taller, and remove the crabgrass on your lawn, fix all your problems, just give us your money. The Republicans are the party that says government doesn't work and then they get elected and prove it. ~P. J. O'Rourke

* I offer my opponents a bargain: If they will stop telling lies about us, I will stop telling the truth about them. ~Adlai Stevenson, campaign speech, 1952

* A politician is a fellow who will lay down your life for his country. ~Texas Guinan

* Any American who is prepared to run for president should automatically, by definition, be disqualified from ever doing so. ~Gore Vidal

* I have come to the conclusion that politics is too serious a matter to be left to the politicians. ~Charles de Gaulle

* Instead of giving a politician the keys to the city, it might be better to change the locks. ~Doug Larson

* There ought to be one day - just one - when there is open season on senators. ~Will Rogers

 

February 13, 2012


HARRY’S WEEKLY UPDATE
A CURRENT LOOK AT THE COLORADO SPRINGS RESIDENTIAL real estate MARKET


NOTABLE QUOTE OF THE WEEK:

“Good business leaders create a vision, articulate the vision, passionately own the vision and relentlessly drive it to completion.”
Jack Welch


JOB MARKET GETTING BETTER? WSJ SAYS IT IS ….IF YOU HAVE SOMETHING TO SELL

The Wall Street Journal (Friday, Feb. 10, 2012) featured an article titled, “Job-Market Bellweather Strengthens”, in which the author points out that “The number of people applying for benefits each week has fallen steadily in recent months and is now down to levels not seen since the early months of the recession, a sign that hiring has accelerated. If claims stay where they are, there is no reason to think the trend of 200,000-plus monthly growth (in jobs) can’t continue” says the author.

In a related article, the Gazette (Wednesday, Feb. 8, 2012) points out that job openings approached a 3-year high in December, as Companies and governments posted 3.38 million job openings. That’s up from the 3.12 million advertised in November and nearly matches the three-year high reached in September. December job openings in the private sector reached the highest point in almost 3 ½ years, according to the Labor Department.

It is worthwhile to note, however, that the jobs that are available are for people with marketable skills. They include everything from doctors and electronic technicians to diesel mechanics. The outlook for graduates with degrees in English, Political Science and Interpretive Dance doesn’t look very promising.

Bottom line: If you have a child just graduating from high school. It might be a good idea to offer him/her a deal. You’ll put them through college, if they agree to graduate from a diesel mechanics’ school first.


WHAT DO THE RECENT FIGURES ON MEDIAN HOME PRICES TELL US?

On Thursday, Feb. 9, 2012, the National Association of Realtors released the data on Median Sales Prices of existing single-family homes for 149 of the major US metropolitan areas in 2011. As we study these statistics, it is obvious that the national, median price for homes is stabilizing. Many of the metropolitan areas that showed the biggest dip in home values during the recession are coming back, and actually showed a dramatic rise in value in 2011.

Communities like Fort Myers, FL (up 25.58%) and Detroit Michigan (up 9.83%) which were hard-hit by the recession are showing healthy increases in home values. Nationally, although home prices continued to drop during 2011 (-4.2%), the pace of decline has slowed and, in many places, has started to rise from the ashes (although Phoenix still showed a 10.2% drop).

Colorado Springs, because we did not suffer the disastrous decline in home prices that many other communities experienced during the recession, did not have as deep a hole to climb out of, so our median prices tended to follow the national trend more closely (-6.5%), however, there are strong indications that 2012 will see our local home-prices stabilize and begin to grow again.

Housing inventories are shrinking, mortgage rates are historically low, housing affordability is at record highs and the job market is slowly improving.

Existing-home sales have been edging up in recent months, and for-sale housing inventories were at nearly 2.4 million units in December, reaching its lowest point since 2005, according to NAR.

The National Association of Home Builders is also predicting an improvement this spring. They predict an increase in building of 18%, after facing their lowest growth on record in 2011.

However, the threats to housing recovery still loom. Strict mortgage lending is keeping some buyers on the sidelines and foreclosures continue to put downward pressure on home prices in many markets.

Celia Chen, senior housing economist with Moody’s Analytics, predicts that “Ultimately, by the end of this year, we should see the housing market on a more solid footing”

That sounds good to us !!!!

 

THE FED CALLS FOR NEW POLICIES TO HELP HOUSING ….LIKE THE RECENT FORECLOSURE DEAL

The Wall Street Journal (Friday, Feb. 10, 2012) quotes Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke as calling for new policies to help the nation’s housing market, saying it was an impediment to economic recovery.

“We need to continue to develop and implement policies that will help the housing sector get back on its feet” he said.

Mr. Bernanke’s remarks were made in a speech to the National Association of Homebuilders and came a day after the announcement by government officials of a $26 billion settlement over alleged foreclosure abuses that will, in part, offer reductions in loan principal to some homeowners.

Under the terms of this settlement, Colorado will receive $204.6 million worth of relief for homeowners. That includes $73.3 that will be available to grant principal reductions on loans to make mortgage modification possible.

“This settlement will not solve every problem with the housing market, but it goes a long way to helping homeowners in distress now and leveling the playing field for consumers”, said Colorado Attorney General John Suthers.

Meanwhile, Mr. Bernanke said the central bank was “intensely focused” on improving credit conditions.

Bottom Line: We urge our readers to advise any of their friends, relatives and neighbors who might have had any foreclosure concerns to contact their lender to see if this settlement could help them.


INVESTORS, TAKE NOTE !!! RENTS ARE PREDICTED TO CONTINUE TO RISE

The Gazette (Thursday, Feb. 9, 2012) tells us that rents at Colorado Springs apartments hovered near a record-high in late 2011 …part of a two-year climb in renter costs that’s expected to continue to rise as demand for multifamily properties remains strong, industry experts say.

Colorado Springs’ monthly rents averaged $775.44 in the fourth quarter of 2011, about $37 more than the same period in 2010, according to a report released Wednesday by the Colorado Division of Housing and the Apartment Association of Southern Colorado. It was the eighth consecutive year-over-year quarterly increase in rents, the report showed.

Rents are up because demand is on the rise. This is a result of thousands of homeowners who have lost their homes to foreclosure and other prospective homeowners who can’t qualify for a mortgage because of tougher borrowing requirements by lenders.

This higher demand for rentals has also resulted in triggering construction of several apartment projects in Colorado Springs, Fountain and Monument.

The bottom line for our readers is that you should consider investing in rental property. Realtor Magazine, in their Jan/Feb. issue, lists rental properties as one of the strongest areas for growth in 2012. The return on investment from your rental property could easily outmatch the income you are now realizing from any of your other investments.

Call us at 598-3200,or, 800 877-MOVE (6683) to discuss this.

 

SALES AND LISTING STATISTICS
 

CLICK HERE to see the latest Sales and listing statistics for the Pikes Peak area.

And be sure to give us a call, if you have any questions, or would like to discuss these statistics in more detail. Call us at 598-3200, or, 800 677-6683.

And, please remember, I would be honored to serve as your Broker for all of your residential real estate needs. I want to help you, my reader, make the most prudent and accurate Real Estate business decision.


Also if you know of anyone who desires to buy or sell local real estate, or, who is moving in or out of the Pikes Peak region, remember that, with over 39 years of providing relocation and Real Estate services to clients throughout the country, I am uniquely qualified to assist them with the relocation process, including buying and/or selling their homes on both ends of their move. Please allow me to implement my negotiating skills on your behalf. Call us at 598-3200,or, 800 877-MOVE (6683).


JOKE OF THE WEEK

I don’t get to travel much !!

I've never been in Cahoots. Apparently, you can't go alone. You have to be in Cahoots with someone.

I've also never been in Cognito. I hear no one recognizes you there.

I have, however, been in Sane. They don't have an airport; you have to be driven there. I have made several trips there, thanks to my friends, family and work. I live close so it's a short drive.

I would like to go to Conclusions, but you have to jump, and I'm not too much on physical activity anymore.

I have, however, been in Doubt. That is a sad place to go, and I try not to visit there too often.

I've been in Flexible, but only when it was very important to stand firm.

Sometimes I'm in Capable, and I go there more often as I'm getting older.

One of my favorite places to be is in Suspense! It really gets the adrenalin flowing and pumps up the old heart! At my age I need all the stimuli I can get!

And, sometimes I think I am in Vincible but life shows me I am not.

People keep telling me I'm in Denial but I'm positive I've never been there before!

I have been in Trouble many times; the older I get, the easier it is to get there and my honey arranges many of those trips, it seems. I actually kind of enjoy it there.

So far, I haven't been in Continent; but my travel agent says I'll be going soon.

Want to know something that you didn't know before?

by Harry Salzman

February 6, 2012


HARRY’S WEEKLY UPDATE
A CURRENT LOOK AT THE COLORADO SPRINGS RESIDENTIAL real estate MARKET


21st ANNUAL IREM BREAKFAST PRESENTS ROSY ECONOMIC FORECAST

On Thursday, Feb. 2, 2012, along with about 275 other attendees, we attended the Institute of real estate Management’s 21st Annual Breakfast at the Doubletree Hotel. The meeting featured speakers from the real estate profession and from the City of Colorado Springs’ Economic Vitality Division.

Their annual forecast included overviews of all aspects of the real estate market ….Multi-family, residential, commercial, etc. The consensus of the speakers was that our local real estate picture is improving, with some segments growing faster than others, and we were especially pleased to hear their optimistic view of our local residential real estate market.

Some of the factors that were noted as boosting our local residential real estate market were:

• Inventory of homes is down (3,157- the lowest total for any month since 3,116 listings in Feb. 2002)
• Foreclosures are down
• Short sales are down
• Interest rates are down
• Unemployment is down
• Troop levels at Ft. Carson are growing
• Consumer confidence is growing

As for rentals, rental occupancy is currently at 94% and pressure increases daily for higher rents. Since 2006, monthly rental prices have risen steadily, from $909 in 2006 to $1163 in 2011. The average lease price (rent) is up 18%. These factors all lead the experts to say, “Buy rentals now and hold them as they increase in value”.

In our current market, the strategy that many experts are recommending for investment buyers is based upon the fact that single-family home prices went up 12.6% in the second half of 2011, while prices for condos and townhouses during that same period have not yet started to rise, but appear to have bottomed-out.

If we had to boil all of the presentations down to a single strategy for our readers, it would be to give serious consideration to:

• Upgrading to a better home, without significantly increasing your monthly payment. (If you can afford a $1000 mortgage payment monthly for 30 years, the current low prices and low mortgage rates would enable you to buy a $250,000 home right now) ……. and,
• Retain your current home as an investment property, rather than selling it ……..Or, at least
• Refinance right now, to take advantage of the current, record-low mortgage rates.
• Keep in mind that, if you wait too long to buy, hoping that prices will go down, you might wind up spending a little less for your house, but a lot more for your mortgage.

Give us a call to discuss your options, at 598-3200, or 800 677-6683(MOVE).


BUILDING PERMITS UP IN 2012 AND LOCAL UNEMPLOYMENT RATE STAYS AT 9%

The Pikes Peak Regional Building Department reports a January 3.7% gain in single-family building permits over January of 2011. John Cassiani, board president of the Housing and Building Association of Colorado Springs, stated, “The economy is getting better. You’ve got a lower unemployment rate in Colorado and in Colorado Springs, and I just think all the signs out there seem to be positive in terms of getting the housing industry back in the right direction.”

In a related story, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the latest 9% unemployment rate in November and December remains the lowest in more than two year and is down sharply from a record 10% last February.


FEWER FORECLOSURES LOCALLY IN JANUARY

Fewer homeowners fell into foreclosure in January in the Colorado Springs area, which continued a trend of reduced foreclosure activity during 2011, according to Tom Mowle, head of the El Paso County Public Trustee’s Office.

Mr. Mowle stated, “The people who have taken out loans the last four to five years will be less likely to find themselves in default and the people who took out the creative loans six to eight years ago have either been renegotiated with lenders or fallen into foreclosure”

Foreclosure sales in El Paso County totaled 2,060 last year, down 21.7% from 2010.


SPRINGS COST OF LIVING STILL BELOW U.S. AVERAGE

Living costs in Colorado Springs were 6.8% below the national average during 2011, according to a survey by the Council for Community and Economic Research.

“The cost of living here remains well below the national average, which has always been a strength for Colorado Springs”, said Tom Binnings, a senior partner with Summit Economics, a local economic research and consulting firm.

Local utilities costs still remain 9.4% below the national average, while our overall energy costs are the lowest in the state. Dave Grossman, a spokesman for Colorado Springs Utilities stated, “the average monthly residential electric bill rose last year to $65.77, while the average natural gas bill fell 2.3% to $48.28.

Local costs for housing and transportation also moved further below the national average.


HERE’S SOME MORE LOCAL GOOD NEWS

According to the Gazette, in Colorado Springs in January:

• Initial claims for unemployment were down 3.7%
• The unemployment rate was down to 9%
• New auto and truck registrations were up 35.2%
• Foreclosure filings were down 16.4%


DID YOU KNOW THAT JANUARY IS THE BEST MONTH TO BUY A HOME?

In reviewing the sales statistics for the past 20 years, we notice that January is the slowest sales month in every year. In every January there are fewer sales and the average selling price is at its lowest level for the year. This January, for example, sales totaled 474, which was 3% more than last January. The median price was $172,250. There were 3157 listings available (which is 27% fewer than last year [4326] and represents the lowest number of available homes since February of 2002. 86% of all sales in January were below $299,999.

After January, both sales and prices start to go up, so call us to take advantage of the lowest prices you will see in 2012.


SALES AND LISTING STATISTICS

CLICK HERE to see the latest Sales and listing statistics for the Pikes Peak area.

And be sure to give us a call, if you have any questions, or would like to discuss these statistics in more detail.

Call us at 598-3200, or, 800 677-6683.

 

THINKING OF BUYING A FORECLOSURE? BE SURE TO ASK THESE 4 QUESTIONS
Daily real estate News | Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Foreclosures can offer big bargains, but buyers need to be careful that they don’t get over their heads in purchasing a home that may need more repairs than they bargained for.

Foreclosures are usually sold as-is, and homes that are left vacant standing too long can have a lot of maintenance problems.

real estate experts suggest buyers consider the following questions:

1. How long has the home been vacant? Be cautious of a foreclosed home that has stood vacant for more than a few weeks or had its utilities shut off a long time. Marvin Goldstein, a home inspector for many foreclosed properties, says a home can deteriorate quickly when heating, cooling, electricity, and running water have been turned off for a while.
2. How old is the home? Goldstein says that homes that are more than 50 years old may have a failing plumbing system or inadequate electrical wiring.
3. How does the home look? Are there broken windows, gutters hanging down, or damaged siding? “Trust your instincts. If the house looks bad from the outside, it's probably worse than you think,” Goldstein said.
4. Is there anything missing? Sometimes former owners remove anything of value from the home, such as built-in light fixtures, bathroom tile, water heaters, air-conditioning units, and hardwoods, says Bill Jacques, president-elect of the American Society of Home Inspectors.

Housing experts encourage buyers to get a home inspector to look at the property, even if it is sold as-is, so that home buyers know any repairs needed and cost estimates before they purchase the home.

“Buying a bank-owned home gives you the opportunity to enter the market at a very low price level,” says Dorcas Helfant, a past president of the National Association of REALTORS®. “You can find terrific values among foreclosures, especially if they're not in too bad shape. But, remember, these houses are discounted for a reason.”

Editor’s note: We totally agree with the 4 points made in the article and, for many years, we have consistently worked with our clients to address these problem areas. We also suggest that you call us, if you are considering buying a foreclosed home. We have access to a lot of information that does not appear in the listing and would be happy to share it with you.

And, please remember, I would be honored to serve as your Broker for all of your residential real estate needs. I want to help you, my reader, make the most prudent and accurate Real Estate business decision.

Also if you know of anyone who desires to buy or sell local real estate, or, who is moving in or out of the Pikes Peak region, remember that, with over 39 years of providing relocation and Real Estate services to clients throughout the country, I am uniquely qualified to assist them with the relocation process, including buying and/or selling their homes on both ends of their move. Please allow me to implement my negotiating skills on your behalf. Call us at 598-3200,or, 800 877-MOVE (6683).


JOKE OF THE WEEK

WANT TO KNOW SOMETHING THAT YOU DIDN’T KNOW BEFORE?

"Stewardesses" is the longest word typed with only the left hand
And "lollipop"is the longest word typed with your right hand.
No word in the English language rhymes with month, orange, silver, or purple.
"Dreamt" is the only English word that ends in the letters "mt".
Our eyes are always the same size from birth, but our nose and ears never stop growing.
The sentence: "The quick brown fox jumps over the lazy dog" uses every letter of the alphabet.
The words 'racecar,' 'kayak' , and 'level' are the same whether they are read left to right or right to left (palindromes).
There are only four words in the English language which end in "dous": tremendous, horrendous, stupendous, and hazardous
There are two words in the English language that have all five vowels in order: "abstemious" and "facetious."
TYPEWRITER is the longest word that can be made using the letters only on one row of the keyboard.
A cat has 32 muscles in each ear.
A goldfish has a memory span of three seconds.
A "jiffy" is an actual unit of time for 1/100th of a second.
A shark is the only fish that can blink with both eyes.
Almonds are a member of the peach family.
An ostrich's eye is bigger than its brain. (I know some people like that also)
Babies are born without kneecaps. They don't appear until the child reaches 2 to 6 years of age.
February 1865 is the only month in recorded history not to have a full moon.
In the last 4,000 years, no new animals have been domesticated.
If the population of China walked past you, 8 abreast, the line would never end because of the rate of reproduction.
Leonardo Da Vinci invented the scissors.
Peanuts are one of the ingredients of dynamite!
Rubber bands last longer when refrigerated.
The average person's left hand does 56% of the typing.
The cruise liner, QE 2 moves only six inches for each gallon of diesel that it burns.
The microwave was invented after a researcher walked by a radar tube and a chocolate bar melted in his pocket.
The winter of 1932 was so cold that Niagara Falls froze completely solid.
There are more chickens than people in the world.
Winston Churchill was born in a ladies' room during a dance.
Women blink nearly twice as much as men.
All the ants in Africa weigh more than ALL the Elephants!!

Now you know (a little) more than you did before!!

WHAT CAN WE DO FOR YOU THAT THE INTERNET CAN'T?

by Harry Salzman

January 30, 2012


HARRY’S WEEKLY UPDATE
A CURRENT LOOK AT THE COLORADO SPRINGS RESIDENTIAL real estate MARKET


WHAT CAN WE DO FOR YOU THAT THE INTERNET CAN’T?

Many people who are looking for a home today are accustomed to finding everything they need on the Internet. Admittedly, the Internet is a fantastic tool for finding everything from a receipe for brownies to a picture of your long-lost uncle. It can help you sell your car and buy a new one.

But, when it comes to real estate, although the Internet can show you listings for the 3225 homes that are for sale in the Pikes Peak area, it cannot tell you about one of the most important factors that should influence your decision to buy, namely the neighborhood.

What kind of ‘neighborhood’ information are we talking about? Well, you should know about the current sales in the neighborhood you are looking at. How well have sales prices held up compared with adjacent neighborhoods? Do the homeowners tend to move in and out frequently, or, are they long-term neighbors? Have prices tended to go down or up in recent years? Are most of the people in this neighborhood retired or young families with lots of small children?
How about the schools …Are they good or not-so-good?

This is the kind of information that could determine whether you will be happy or not in your new home. And it’s the kind of information that you can’t get from the Internet. In fact, you can’t get it from a Realtor who hasn’t been around for a while.

That’s where we can be of assistance to you. We have been active in every neighborhood in the Pikes Peak area for 40 years and are familiar with the ‘personality’ of ever neighborhood in the area. We can show you the market-value trends within each neighborhood and the pros and cons of the various locations within the area. In real estate, there is no substitute for experience …and that’s where we shine.

Give us a call at 598-3200 or 800 677-6683, to discuss your needs. You can’t get this kind of help from the Internet !!


EXISTING-HOME SALES SHOW UPTREND IN DECEMBER

Existing-home sales continued on an upward trend in December, rising for three consecutive months and remaining above a year ago, according to the National Association of Realtors.

The latest data show home sales rose 5% in December, prompting Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist to state, “The pattern of home sales in recent months demonstrates a market in recovery. Record-low mortgage interest rates, job-growth and bargain home prices are giving more consumers the confidence they need to enter the market”.

For all of 2011, existing-home sales rose 1.7% to 4.26 million from 4.19 million in 2010.

NAR President, Moe Veissi states, “The American Dream of homeownership is alive and well. We have a large pent-up demand, and household formation is likely to return to normal as the job market steadily improves”.

Can we have an “Amen” to that ??

 

TWO MAJOR BANKS SLASH FORECLOSURE SALE TIMELINES

JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo trimmed their foreclosure timelines by as much as 100 days in the third quarter of 2012, helping to work though the major backlog of foreclosed homes, according to Moody’s Investor Service. This streamlining of the foreclosure process will come as welcome news to many prospective homebuyers who have been discouraged by the excessive time involved in obtaining bank approval for offers on homes in foreclosure. However, the foreclosure process can still take longer than many homebuyers are willing or able to accept.

We encourage prospective Buyers to contact us about any foreclosed properties they might be considering. In many cases we will be able to work with the lender to speed up the process, or, we might be able to find comparable homes that are not encumbered by the lengthy foreclosure process.

Call us at 598-3200, or, 800-677-6683 (MOVE).


HOUSING INVENTORY DOWN 22% FROM YEAR-AGO LEVELS

Realtor.com (Jan. 25, 2012) announced that the national inventory of for-sale single-family homes, condominiums, townhouses and co-ops dropped by 22.29% over the last year.

They also note that median list prices, which have remained essentially unchanged since June, are up by 5.03% nationally, on a year-to-year basis.

Each of these developments can be viewed as “a positive sign that the housing market is holding its own at the national level”, according to Realtor.com.

We should also point out that, as inventory shrinks, prices tend to rise (The old law of ‘supply and demand’), so, call us to get started on the search for your new home, before prices get any higher.

 

SOME MORE EXAMPLES OF THE POSITIVE TRENDS IN THE ECONOMY

• COLORADO’S UNEMPLOYMENT RATE DIPPED TO 7.9% IN DECEMBER, down one-tenth of a percentage point from the month before and a full point from the 8.9% in December 2010.
• FOURTH QUARTER U.S. GROWTH RATE OF 2.8% IS FASTEST IN 18 MONTHS, according to the Wall Street Journal. (Jan 28-29, 2012)
• DISPOSABLE INCOME ROSE FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE EARLY 2011. (WSJ Sunday Jan. 28-29, 2012)
• CONSUMER SPENDING PICKED UP 2% IN THE FOURTH QUARTER. This compares with a 1.7% rise in the third quarter. Consumer spending represents about 2/3 of demand in the economy.(WSJ)
• Investment in residential and commercial real estate, equipment and software and inventories was up 20% in the fourth quarter (WSJ, Jan. 28-29, 2012)
• EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES WERE UP 4.7% IN THE FOURTH QUARTER (WSJ)
• IMPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES WERE UP 4.4% IN THE FOURTH QUARTER (WSJ)
• HOUSEHOLD SECTOR SPENDING ON GOODS AND SERVICES WAS UP 2% FROM THE THIRD QUARTER (WSJ)
• BUSINESSES INVESTING MORE AND LAYING OFF FEWER WORKERS (The Gazette Friday, Jan. 27, 2012) “Government figures released Thursday show that business are spending more on new equipment, inventory and capital investments", said Carl Riccadonna, an economist at Deutsche Bank. “The economy is growing and industrial capacity has not kept up”,
• HOMEOWNERS ARE SPENDING MORE MONEY ON FIXING UP THEIR HOMES. For example, Home Depot shares are up 58% since August. This matches their earnings multiple of January 2005, when the housing bubble was in full swing.

In the three months ended in November, home-improvement spending was 4.3% higher than a year before, according to the Census Department.

 

MORTGAGE INTEREST RATES NOT SCHEDULED TO RISE UNTIL LATE 2014… AT THE EARLIEST

(Wall Street Journal, Thursday, Jan. 26, 2012) Federal Reserve officials said they expect to keep short-term interest rates near zero for almost three more years. That’s good news for both Buyers and Sellers of real estate.

The Fed also announced they might take more action to support the economy, if inflation stays under control and if recovery slows. A bond-buying program to push down long-term interest rates could be the next step.

However, keep in mind that, although mortgage interest rates are staying low, other charges and fees could increase the cost of buying a home, so, don’t delay your decision to get into that new home.

Call us at 598-3200, or 800 677-6683 (MOVE) to discuss this.

 

NAR SURVEY LOOKS AT FIRST-TIME BUYERS

The National Association of Realtors has issued its 2011 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers. Their survey of First-Time Buyers shows some interesting facts about those entering the real estate market for the first time. When compared to all Buyers, First-time Buyers tend to:

• Focus more on the monthly mortgage payment
• Focus more on convenience to friends and family
• Focus more on proximity to entertainment and leisure activities
• Rate energy-efficiency high on their list, but are not willing to spend an extra $20,000 just to get solar panels
• Be more willing to compromise on space. They will accept a smaller laundry room, without an attached mud room, a smaller master bedroom and a smaller walk-in closet. ….The median-size of first time buyers’ homes is 1,570 sq.ft.

But the one thing First-Time Buyers aren’t willing to compromise on …Buying a home that needs a lot of repairs.

First-timers don’t have any experience with home maintenance and tend to be afraid of renovations, so,… Sellers take note …Be sure to fix everything you can and make minor home improvements, if you want to appeal to First-Time Buyers.


ARE YOU RENTING? …MAYBE YOU SHOULD THINK ABOUT BUYING !!

RealtorMag points out that the U.S. average for asking rents in 2011 came in at $1.061 per month.

If you are renting, and paying anything near that figure, you should give us a call to discuss buying a home. There are great homes out there that you could be living in and be paying less per month …and getting a break on your income taxes as well.

Call us at 598-3200, or, 800 677-6683 (MOVE).

 

SALES AND LISTING STATISTICS

CLICK HERE to see the latest sales and listing statistics for the Pikes Peak are, issued by the Pikes Peak Association of Realtors and be sure to call us, if you have any questions about the data.


And, please remember, I would be honored to serve as your Broker for all of your residential real estate needs. I want to help you, my reader, make the most prudent and accurate Real Estate business decision.

Also if you know of anyone who desires to buy or sell local real estate, or, who is moving in or out of the Pikes Peak region, remember that, with over 39 years of providing relocation and Real Estate services to clients throughout the country, I am uniquely qualified to assist them with the relocation process, including buying and/or selling their homes on both ends of their move. Please allow me to implement my negotiating skills on your behalf. Call us at 598-3200,or, 800 877-MOVE (6683).


JOKE OF THE WEEK

Bob was in trouble. He forgot his wedding anniversary. His wife was
really pissed.

She told him "Tomorrow morning, I expect to find a gift in the
driveway that goes from 0 to 200 in 6 seconds AND IT BETTER BE THERE !!"

The next morning he got up early and left for work. When his wife woke
up, she looked out the window and sure enough there was a box
gift-wrapped in the middle of the driveway.

Confused, the wife put on her robe and ran out to the driveway, brought
the box back in the house.

She opened it and found a brand new bathroom scale.

Bob has been missing since Friday.

SO, WHAT DOES OUR LOCAL SURVEY TELL US?

by Harry Salzman

January 23, 2012


HARRY’S WEEKLY UPDATE
A CURRENT LOOK AT THE COLORADO SPRINGS RESIDENTIAL real estate MARKET


SOUTHERN COLORADO ECONOMIC FORUM PREDICTS GROWTH IN 2012

Last Thursday, we had the opportunity to attend the economic forecast breakfast of the SCEF, at the Cheyenne Mountain Resort. The event was sponsored by VectraBank. About 240 people attended the meeting which featured presentations by Ted Mossman, Pikes Peak Market President of VectraBank Colorado, Dr. Thomas Zwirlein, Professor of Finance at UCCS, and George Feiger, President and CEO of Contango Capital Advisors.

The SCEF is forecasting a 2-3% growth for our region in 2012, primarily as a result of the troops returning to our area from Afghanistan.

Dr. Zwirlein stated he was a little more optimistic than he was last fall, when the forum released its forecast for the year.
“National employment figures are improving, industrial production is looking better and the number of housing permits is getting back to a more normal level”.

By the end of the year, Colorado metro areas are expected to have recovered 48% of the jobs lost since the peak, on par with the recovery rate for all U.S. metro areas.

El Paso County is projected to create 23,000 jobs by 2019. Meanwhile, the population is expected to increase by 100,000. “We need 43,000 jobs to keep unemployment at its current level.” Dr. Zwirlein said. “We need 58,000 jobs to get it back to 5% unemployment.

The attendees at the forum seemed upbeat about the coming year, but agreed that our major problem will be creating more jobs.

 

AN OVERVIEW OF real estate MEDIA SHOWS THAT BETTER TIMES ARE NOW HERE

As we read the various resources for real estate news and information, it is obvious that the mood of the “experts” is upbeat. As evidence of this optimistic view of the Real Estate market, we offer these examples of recent news items:

• DECEMBER EXISTING-HOME SALES SHOW UPTREND (Realtor Magazine) ”Record-low mortgage rates, job growth and bargain home prices are giving consumers the confidence they need to enter the market. These are the early signs of what may be a sustained recovery.” (Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association Of Realtors)

For all of 2011, existing-home sales rose 1.7% to 4.26 million from 4.19 million in 2010, and are expected to increase 12% this year, following a 2% jump last year, according to Moody’s Analytics.

Single-family home sales increased 4.6% to an annual rate of 4.11 million in December, up from 3.93 million in November, and are 4.3% higher than the 3.94 million-unit pace a year ago.

NAR President Moe Veissisaid is quoted as saying, “More Buyers are expected to take advantage of market conditions this year. The American dream of homeownership is alive and well. We have a large, pent-up demand, and household formation is likely to return to normal, as the job market steadily improves. When people buy homes, they stimulate a lot of related goods and services”.

• BUILDERS FEEL THE MOST UPBEAT IN MORE THAN 4 YEARS (Realtor Magazine) Builder confidence is at its highest level since June 2007. For the fourth consecutive month, builder sentiment for newly-built, single-family homes was on the rise, according to the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo housing market Index.

USA Today is quoted as saying, “Investors are starting to get optimistic about the possibility of a rebound too, and are turning to homebuilding stocks. These equities have recently outperformed the broader stock market, and the S&P 1500 homebuilding index has increased 38% since mid-October”.

• 2012 IS THE YEAR OF THE POLITICAL ECONOMY (RISMedia) “Consumers seem to have gotten out of their summer rut due in large part to improving labor market conditions and improving attitudes toward employment prospects and future income. As consumer sentiment shows signs of improvement, so do recent housing indicators, which are trending in a positive direction, with incremental improvement expected to continue through 2012.”

• HOT RENTAL MARKET OFFERS real estate OPPORTUNITY (INMAN NEWS) The Rental market has gotten hotter. Phillip Lee, co-founder and CEO of RentMatch is quoted as saying, “Buying a house has always been the American dream, but rentals are the American reality, right now. Economic uncertainty, credit histories marred by foreclosures and short sales, and strict lending standards have helped keep many potential Homebuyers off the market, contributing to a rental boom”.

This is good news for Investors, however, keep in mind that, because of low home prices and record-low mortgage rates, housing affordability is now at a 40-year high. So, because rents are rising and house payments are falling, it’s getting to the point where it makes more sense for people to buy. (Ed. Note. Give us a call at 598-3200, or 800-677-6683(MOVE), to explore your options. Now might be the right time for you to make that decision to buy).

• CORELOGIC SAYS HOUSING MAY TURN THE CORNER IN 2012 (DSNEWS) Mark Fleming, CoreLogic’s chief economist, says housing statistics and the duration of the downturn indicate 2012 may be the year the housing market begins to turn the corner.

“The time is right in 2012 for prices to begin growing again”, Fleming said, “and housing affordability will put a floor under any further significant declines”.

• FREDDIE MAC APPROACHES 2012 WITH ‘CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM’ (DSNEWS) Frank Nothaft, chief economist for Freddie Mac, says Freddie Mac expects a 2%-5% increase in home sales in 2012, according to the GSE’s U.S. Economic and housing market Outlook for January. He states, “Housing is starting to raise hopes for continued gradual economic recovery”.

Citing a survey from the Mortgage Bankers Association, Mr. Nothaft points out that, “Almost 80% of households say now is a good time to purchase a home”.

• SALES STIR HOPE FOR housing market (The Wall Street Journal Jan. 21, 2012) The article points out that the increase in sales in 2011 was the result of low mortgage-interest rates, low prices, active Investor-Buyers and increasing consumer confidence. As a result, the supply of homes listed for sale is at the lowest level since 2006 and offers a glimmer of hope that the housing market could be starting to climb out of the downturn. ..(Ed. Note: That’s certainly the situation in Colorado Springs. Surveys show that we are better off than most other major metropolitan areas in the U.S and are more likely to see a quicker recovery.).


SO, WHAT DOES OUR LOCAL SURVEY TELL US?

Now, all of the above-referenced sources have been fairly accurate in the past in identifying trends in housing, but we have an even better measure of the condition of the local housing market, namely, the annual, official- but-unscientific, Harry Salzman Survey of Home Improvement Stores. We take this survey by asking the Managers of our local Lowe’s, Home Depot and Ace Hardware outlets a simple question……We ask them, “How’s business?”

Last week, as we conducted this survey, the answers of all of these Managers were unanimous. “Business is booming”, they tell us.

“Homeowners are fixing up their homes like we haven’t seen in a long time. They seem to feel better about the future and they are now willing to put more money in their homes …either to get them ready to sell, or, just to enjoy their homes more”.

These comments reinforce the article in the Wall Street Journal (Friday, Jan. 20, 201) that declared, “HOMEOWNERS STOP WAITING TO SPRUCE UP”. The article points out that, “…Americans are stepping up spending on home improvements for the first time in years”.

The bottom line is that consumers seem to be more confident in the economy and are willing to start spending, again. That results in more local jobs and more tax revenues to pay for local government services.

2012 is beginning to look really good. It’s about time !!!!

 

LATEST STATISTICS

CLICK HERE to see the latest Sales and Listing statistics for the Pikes Peak area.

And, please remember, I would be honored to serve as your Broker for all of your residential real estate needs. I want to help you, my reader, make the most prudent and accurate Real Estate business decision.

Also if you know of anyone who desires to buy or sell local real estate, or, who is moving in or out of the Pikes Peak region, remember that, with over 39 years of providing relocation and Real Estate services to clients throughout the country, I am uniquely qualified to assist them with the relocation process, including buying and/or selling their homes on both ends of their move. Please allow me to implement my negotiating skills on your behalf. Call us at 598-3200,or, 800 877-MOVE (6683).


JOKE OF THE WEEK

LEXIPHILES WILL LOVE THESE

To write with a broken pencil is pointless.
When fish are in schools they sometimes take debate.
A thief who stole a calendar got twelve months.
When the smog lifts in Los Angeles , U.C.L.A.
The professor discovered that her theory of earthquakes was on shaky ground.
The batteries were given out free of charge.
A dentist and a manicurist married. They fought tooth and nail.
A will is a dead giveaway.
If you don't pay your exorcist you can get repossessed.
With her marriage, she got a new name and a dress.
Show me a piano falling down a mineshaft and I'll show you A-flat miner.
You are stuck with your debt if you can't budge it.
Local Area Network in Australia : The LAN down under.
A boiled egg is hard to beat.
When you've seen one shopping center you've seen a mall.
Police were called to a day care where a three-year-old was resisting a rest
Did you hear about the fellow whose whole left side was cut off? He's all right now
If you take a laptop computer for a run you could jog your memory.
A bicycle can't stand alone; it is two tired.
In a democracy it's your vote that counts; in feudalism, it's your Count that votes
When a clock is hungry it goes back four seconds
The guy who fell onto an upholstery machine was fully recovered.
He had a photographic memory which was never developed.
Those who get too big for their britches will be exposed in the end.
When she saw her first strands of gray hair, she thought she'd dye.
Acupuncture: a jab well done.

 

PPAR RELEASES YEAR-END REAL ESTATE STATISTICS

by Harry Salzman

January 16, 2012


HARRY’S WEEKLY UPDATE
A CURRENT LOOK AT THE COLORADO SPRINGS RESIDENTIAL real estate MARKET


PPAR RELEASES YEAR-END real estate STATISTICS

The Pikes Peak Association of Realtors has just released the 2011 Sales and Listing statistics for the Pikes Peak area. Here are some of the more significant statistics contained in this year-end PPAR report:

• The total number of single-family home sales in 2011 was up 3.3% over 2010 (8459 vs. 8185)
• The number of home sales in December of 2011 (651) were 3.5% higher than December of 2010
• 2011 was the sixth-straight year of year-over-year increases in sales
• The average sales price for a home in 2011 was 4.9% less than in 2010 ($217,829 vs. $229,152)
• Our “For Sale” inventory as of Dec.31, 2011 was 24.1% less than it was in 2010 (3285 vs. 4327)
• In December of 2011, the typical local home sold for 97.5% of the Sellers’s listing price.

One big reason for the reduction in inventory is probably that many Sellers have removed their homes from the market, either because they were not highly motivated to sell, or, because they were not willing to list their homes at a realistic price.

The current 2.5% difference between listing prices and sales prices indicates that today’s Sellers are being more realistic about their expectations. Because “All real estate Is Local” you would be wise to consult with a qualified Realtor who has experience in your specific neighborhood, before you list your home. We would be happy to assist you with that task.

If you would like to find out what a realistic selling price for your home would be in today’s market, just give us a call. We would be happy to discuss a realistic price for your current home, for your next home, or for an investment property. Call us at 598-3200, or, 800-677-6683 (MOVE). There are a lot of excellent deals out there right now.!!!

All-in-all, the year-end numbers give us reason to believe that 2012 will be a better year for real estate than 2011 was. The statistics and the experts agree that 2012 should show a modest rise in sales and prices (probably around .2% in 2012 and .3-.4% in 2013).

To see a complete copy of the PPAR Sales and Listing statistics for December, 2011, CLICK HERE

 

HOME AFFORDABILITY NOW AT 1971 LEVELS ….WOW!!!

Realtor Magazine (Jan. 11, 2012) tells us that, because of falling home prices and record-low mortgage rates, home affordability is at 1971 levels, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development.

Home owners are bringing in nearly double the median income they need to cover the cost of an average home, HousingPredictor reports.

Bob Nielsen, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders, said, “With interest rate at historically low levels and markets across the country beginning to improve, home ownership is within the reach of more households”.

As a result of these factors, home sales have been ticking up, according to the National Association of Realtors.

Some of the other signs that things are getting better;

• Clear Capital says home prices in 2012 will go up slightly (0.2%). This will represent the first rise since 2006 and will put national home prices near levels not seen since 2001. Half of the 50 major metro markets included in the ClearCapital annual survey are expected to post gains for the year.
• Foreclosures across the U.S. decreased 34% in 2011, according to RisMedia. In fact, December activity hit a 49 month low, even though scheduled auctions were up in the fourth quarter.

And don’t forget, another positive factor to consider as you make your decision about buying that new home is the deductibility of your mortgage interest payments. As an example, if you are in a 28% tax bracket and your mortgage interest rate is 3.75%, your mortgage interest deduction would effectively reduce your mortgage-interest expense to 2.75% out of your pocket. That really makes home ownership a realistic possibility for many people.

Also, as you consider buying that new home, you might consider is a 15 year mortgage, rather than the traditional 30 year mortgage. Depending upon your circumstances, the 15 year mortgage can cut your mortgage interest rate even further. Here again, we will be happy to explain all of your options and the tax advantages that are available to you.

Give us a call at 598-3200, or 800-677-6683(MOVE).

 

WHAT ARE SELLERS DOING TO MAKE THEIR HOMES MORE ‘BUYER FRIENDLY’ ?

Some of the ‘extras’ that Sellers are now using to ‘sweeten the deal’ are:

• Reducing prices
• Paying closing costs
• Making deferred repairs
• Buying home warranties
• Paying originations fees or points

Sellers are also using ‘staging’ to make their homes more appealing to prospective Buyers.

Give us a call to discuss how we might market your home to make it a more appealing prospect for Buyers.

 

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE IS RISING

Here are some interesting results from the recent Fannie Mae national housing survey :

• Most respondents believe home prices will edge up at least 0.8% in 2012.
• 40% expect their financial situations to improve in 2012
• More than 20% said their incomes are significantly higher than they were a year ago

Fannie Mae chief economist Doug Duncan summarized the survey results by saying, “There is marked improvement in consumer sentiment regarding the direction of the economy, personal finances and future home price expectations”.

Ironically, “This increase in optimistic Americans is tempered by overall consumer attitudes that remain at depressed levels with more than two-thirds of those interviewed saying the economy is heading down the wrong track”.

So, what’s the bottom line? You tell me!!!

 

MORTGAGE RATES STILL HOLDING, BUT WHAT HAPPENS IF FHA GETS IN TROUBLE?

Freddie Mac recently released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey, showing mortgage rates easing to new all-time record lows. The average for the 30-year fixed mortgage rate has been below 4% for six consecutive weeks.

At the same time, the FHA’s cash reserves have shrunk and that agency may have to seek a capital infusion from the taxpayers, if the housing slump continues, according to Bloomberg BusinessWeek. (Jan. 15, 2012).

If the government does end up giving FHA additional funds, then we can expect mortgage rates to rise, which would negatively affect he entire housing market.

Bottom Line: If you are thinking of buying a home, you had better buy now, before rates start going up.


EL PASO COUNTY APPROVES PLAN TO EASE RESTRICTIONS ON BUSINESS

On Thursday, the Barriers to Business committee brought its first set of recommendations to the El Paso County commissioners, who unanimously approved them. The vote reduces the number of commercial and industrial zones in unincorporated areas of the county from five to three, and axes a five-year limit on special uses and variances.

The changes give businesses more opportunity to go into areas where they might not have been allowed before, and lessens the need for special hearings, application fees and a whole lot of forms.

Commission chair Amy Lathen said, “It’s more common sense and it eliminates time, paperwork and cost. It gives businesses more opportunity, but does it while preserving the master plan of the area”.

Bottom line: To us, it sounds like a step forward in attracting more businesses to our area. Good work, guys!!

 

NEW MERGED CHAMBER/EDC HOPES TO FOCUS ON EDUCATION

In a “State of Education” luncheon on Wednesday, Dave Csintyan, president and CEO of the Greater Colorado Springs Chamber of Commerce, said the business community needs to partner with public schools to ensure a well-trained future workforce. “Our newly merged organization has to be thematically relevant and part of that should be education” he stated.

Csintyan said he realized the importance of the business community’s input when he recently encountered a young store clerk who couldn’t figure out how to make change for an $18.16 purchase from a $20 bill.

Dr. Nicholas Gledich, Colorado Springs School District 11 superintendent, said he welcomes the business community involvement in the schools. The economic benefits to the business community of graduating 100% of the student body equal millions of dollars, he stated. In Colorado Springs, 2,000 students dropped out of the class of 2010, he said. If half of those graduated they would have contributed $11 million to the economy.

Sounds like all of us would benefit if the Chamber could help our school districts improve their graduation rates.


And, please remember, I would be honored to serve as your Broker for all of your residential real estate needs. I want to help you, my reader, make the most prudent and accurate Real Estate business decision.

Also if you know of anyone who desires to buy or sell local real estate, or, who is moving in or out of the Pikes Peak region, remember that, with over 39 years of providing relocation and Real Estate services to clients throughout the country, I am uniquely qualified to assist them with the relocation process, including buying and/or selling their homes on both ends of their move. Please allow me to implement my negotiating skills on your behalf. Call us at 598-3200,or, 800 877-MOVE (6683).


JOKE OF THE WEEK

"Do you believe in life after death?" the boss asked one of his employees.
"Yes, sir," the clerk replied.
"That's good," the boss said. "After you left early yesterday to go to your grandmother's funeral, she stopped in to see you."

 

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Harry A Salzman
ERA Shields / Salzman Real Estate Services
6385 Corporate Drive, Suite 301
Colorado Springs CO 80919
719-593-1000
Cell: 719-231-1285
Fax: 719-548-9357

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